5
Tago Mago
3yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 61
Ripon · Queen Ethelburga's Collegiate Handicap · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
150/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength70%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-06-15 | Wetherby | 4 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2025-09-29 | Southwell | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength6%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 15/06/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 07/07/2026 | 7th | 150/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |