3
Golden Goal
4yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 73
Thistledown · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength17%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 11/01/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 12/02/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 30% | +0.14 |
| 09/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 26/03/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 27/04/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 02/06/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 43% | -0.26 |
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |