5

Bella Future

8yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 96

Thistledown · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength1%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Fort Erie 20/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 94 · 7f Slo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/10/2025 · OR 94 par20/10C5OR 94C8 @ Mahoning Valley 18/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 90 · 6f Slo 124 · below its mark18/12/2025 · OR 90 parC8 @ Mahoning Valley 22/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 90 · 5f110y Slo 124 · below its mark22/01/2026 · OR 90 par22/01C8OR 90C8 @ Mahoning Valley 04/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 85 · 6f 124 · below its mark04/03/2026 · OR 85 parC8 @ Mahoning Valley 16/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 87 · 6f 124 · below its mark16/03/2026 · OR 87 par16/03C8OR 87C0 @ Mahoning Valley 07/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 6f 124C8 @ Thistledown 02/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 85 · 6f Slo 123 · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 85 par2/05C8OR 85C8 @ Thistledown 25/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 87 · 6f 119 · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 87 parC8 @ Thistledown 11/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 85 · 6f 123 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 85 par11/06C8OR 85projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-11Thistledown?3rd3rd0
2026-05-25Thistledown?1st1st0
2026-05-02Thistledown?6th6th0
2026-04-07Mahoning Valley?4th4th0
2026-03-16Mahoning Valley?5th5th0
2026-03-04Mahoning Valley?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/104/032/0511/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength88%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/10/20254th7/491%40%-0.51
18/12/20252nd5/174%88%+0.14
22/01/20266th9/276%29%-0.48
04/03/20262nd11/486%83%-0.02
16/03/20265th9/276%20%-0.56
07/04/20264th15/261%40%-0.21
02/05/20266th16/116%29%+0.13
25/05/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
11/06/20263rd9/276%60%-0.16