Doctor Wu
7yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 87
Thistledown · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
11/8
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-03-23 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 18/12/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 18/02/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 23/03/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 10/04/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 43% | -0.40 |
| 26/05/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 14% | -0.54 |
| 11/06/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |