7
Fast Talkin Man
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 68
Thistledown · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-03-24 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength67%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |
| 10/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 25/02/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 24/03/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 29/04/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 14% | -0.62 |
| 02/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 11/06/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 13/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |