6
Thanks Frank
5yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 88
Thistledown · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-02 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-06 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-08 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength81%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |
| 24/06/2025 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 18/09/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 08/10/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 25/10/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 06/11/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 11/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 02/01/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 01/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |