5
Majestic Frontier
7yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 72
Thistledown · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
11/8
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Finger Lakes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-07 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength64%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/03/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 06/04/2025 | 5th | 13/8 | 91% | 0% | -0.91 |
| 02/09/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 07/10/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 14% | -0.57 |
| 21/10/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.15 |
| 12/11/2025 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 22% | -0.59 |
| 24/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 21/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 25% | -0.68 |