4
Vladislav
7yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 89
Thistledown · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength37%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 25/10/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 56% | -0.10 |
| 15/11/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 07/12/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 05/02/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 13% | -0.56 |
| 16/03/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 21/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 02/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/11 | 95% | 50% | -0.45 |
| 06/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 50% | -0.42 |