Gunner Gabriel
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 81
Thistledown · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
71%
Place Prob
59%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 2.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-05-28 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-03-23 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 21/01/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 19/02/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 23/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 86% | -0.08 |
| 07/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |
| 20/05/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 28/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 24/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 14/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |