4

Hip Hip Hooray

7yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 77

Thistledown · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength65%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Thistledown 15/05/2024 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 100 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/05/2024 · OR 100 par15/05C5OR 100C5 @ Thistledown 16/07/2024 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 97 · 5f110y Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/07/2024 · OR 97 parC5 @ Thistledown 10/08/2024 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 98 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/08/2024 · OR 98 par10/08C5OR 98C5 @ Thistledown 08/10/2024 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 95 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/10/2024 · OR 95 parC5 @ Mahoning Valley 26/10/2024 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 87 · 6f Fas 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/10/2024 · OR 87 par26/10C5OR 87C5 @ Thistledown 14/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 88 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/05/2025 · OR 88 parC5 @ Thistledown 14/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 90 · 6f 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/08/2025 · OR 90 par14/08C5OR 90C8 @ Thistledown 03/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 88 · 6f 119 · beat its mark03/10/2025 · OR 88 parC8 @ Thistledown 25/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 80 · 6f 119 · below its mark25/06/2026 · OR 80 par25/06C8OR 80projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-25Thistledown?5th5th0
2025-10-03Thistledown?1st1st0
2025-08-14Thistledown?6th3rd+3
2025-05-14Thistledown?3rd0th+3
2024-10-26Mahoning Valley?11th7th+3
2024-10-08Thistledown?4th1st+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/058/1014/0825/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength42%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/05/20245th10/147%50%+0.03
16/07/20244th11/271%0%-0.71
10/08/20247th25/10%25%+0.25
08/10/20244th14/126%50%+0.24
26/10/202411th25/10%17%+0.17
14/05/20253rd16/116%60%+0.44
14/08/20256th12/137%17%-0.20
03/10/20251st11/1094%100%+0.06
25/06/20265th10/147%0%-0.47