Wildcat Express
7yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 88
Thistledown · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
29%
Place Prob
37%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-05-14 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-03-19 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
| 2025-03-04 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2024-12-18 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/2024 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 30/10/2024 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 26/11/2024 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 18/12/2024 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 04/03/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 19/03/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 14/05/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 01/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 25/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |