5
All Pepped Up
3yo Filly · 8-3 · OR 63
Thistledown · Race 5 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-17 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-22 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength2%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 17/02/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 02/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 29/04/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 30% | +0.14 |