6
Miss Springsteen
5yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 61
Thistledown · Race 5 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -2.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-04-28 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2025-10-20 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-10-02 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-09-22 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength46%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 01/07/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 07/08/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 22/09/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |
| 02/10/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 20/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 28/04/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 18/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 08/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |