6

Full Spectrum

4yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 77

Thistledown · Race 7 - Allowance · 5f 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

68%

Place Prob

49%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Thistledown 16/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 64 · 1m Fas 115 · beat its mark16/06/2025 · OR 64 par16/06C5OR 64C5 @ Thistledown 03/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 71 · 6f Fas 119 · beat its mark03/07/2025 · OR 71 parC5 @ Thistledown 14/08/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 76 · 1m2f 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/08/2025 · OR 76 par14/08C5OR 76C5 @ Thistledown 03/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 80 · 1m 115 · below its mark03/09/2025 · OR 80 parC5 @ Thistledown 22/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 80 · 1m Slo 115 · beat its mark22/09/2025 · OR 80 par22/09C5OR 80C5 @ Mahoning Valley 21/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 76 · 1m 123 · beat its mark21/10/2025 · OR 76 parC5 @ Thistledown 22/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 85 · 6f Fas 119 · below its mark22/04/2026 · OR 85 par22/04C5OR 85C5 @ Thistledown 22/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 81 · 1m 119 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 81 parC5 @ Thistledown 09/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 79 · 1m 123 · below its mark09/07/2026 · OR 79 par9/07C5OR 79projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-09Thistledown?5th5th0
2026-06-22Thistledown?2nd2nd0
2026-04-22Thistledown?5th5th0
2025-10-21Mahoning Valley?3rd3rd0
2025-09-22Thistledown?1st1st0
2025-09-03Thistledown?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/063/0922/049/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength33%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/06/20251st11/893%100%+0.07
03/07/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
14/08/202512th14/126%0%-0.26
03/09/20254th2/189%25%-0.64
22/09/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
21/10/20253rd10/382%75%-0.07
22/04/20265th9/276%33%-0.43
22/06/20262nd11/486%86%+0.00
09/07/20265th5/174%20%-0.54