7
Zippin Gigi
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 86
Thistledown · Race 7 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-07-07 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-10 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-05-20 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-05-04 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-04-21 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength78%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/02/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 30% | -0.46 |
| 06/03/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 17% | -0.70 |
| 19/03/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 21/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 04/05/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 20/05/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 10/06/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 07/07/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 22/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |