5
Divine Silence
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 37
Thistledown · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength78%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 7.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-23 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-03-12 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-02-19 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2025-11-03 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2025-10-20 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength51%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 03/11/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/02/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 12/03/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 23/03/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |