1
Pleasure Pearl
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 51
Thistledown · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength72%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-10-14 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-08-12 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-07-03 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-06-21 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength72%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/2025 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 22% | -0.57 |
| 03/07/2025 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 43% | -0.40 |
| 12/08/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 14/10/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 13/07/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |