2
Team Chiquita
3yo Filly · 8-7
Thistledown · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength42%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 28/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/07/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |