1
Deep Hope
7yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 79
Vichy · Prix Serge Maillard Stakes · 6f 211y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
99%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲3
Strength4%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -2.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Vichy | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Deauville | ? | 1st | 6th | −5 |
| 2026-03-06 | Meydan | ? | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Meydan | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Meydan | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-09 | Meydan | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 21/11/2025 | 7th | 15/8 | 90% | 14% | -0.76 |
| 12/12/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |
| 09/01/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 06/02/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 13/02/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 85% | +0.37 |
| 06/03/2026 | 16th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |