6
Saskatoon
5yo Gelding · 8-11
Vichy · Prix Serge Maillard Stakes · 6f 211y
#5
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 2 | 15th | 14th | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Marseille | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Marseille | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/01/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.09 |
| 27/01/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 10/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 22/02/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 82% | +0.08 |
| 04/03/2026 | 6th | 13/8 | 91% | 38% | -0.54 |
| 03/04/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 70% | +0.09 |
| 22/05/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 22% | -0.36 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 77% | +0.51 |
| 20/07/2026 | 15th | 40/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |