3
The Doctor
4yo Gelding · 8-11
Vichy · Prix Serge Maillard Stakes · 6f 211y
#6
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 2 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Marseille | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Marseille | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-03-22 | Marseille | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-02-16 | Marseille | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength47%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/12/2025 | 16th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 15/01/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 82% | +0.45 |
| 04/02/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 88% | +0.27 |
| 16/02/2026 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 14% | -0.74 |
| 22/03/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 22/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 89% | +0.31 |
| 12/06/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 23% | -0.14 |
| 20/07/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |