8
Waziers
6yo Mare · 8-8
Vichy · Prix Serge Maillard Stakes · 6f 211y
#3
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 2 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Marseille | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Marseille | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength16%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/01/2026 | 16th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/02/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 04/03/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 22/03/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |
| 13/04/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 46% | -0.12 |
| 27/04/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 22/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 78% | +0.09 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |
| 20/07/2026 | 14th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.13 |