1
Cala Rossa
4yo Filly · 9-6
Vichy · Prix d'Espinasse-Vozelle Claiming Handicap · 6f 211y
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-07-07 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Marseille | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-03-17 | Fontainebleau | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 12
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength11%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 10/01/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 73% | +0.15 |
| 20/01/2026 | 5th | 11/10 | 94% | 60% | -0.34 |
| 17/03/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 63% | -0.27 |
| 11/04/2026 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 36% | -0.25 |
| 22/05/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 44% | -0.16 |
| 17/06/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 44% | -0.11 |
| 07/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 25/07/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 30% | +0.14 |