6
Khelonyx
4yo Gelding · 9-4
Vichy · Prix d'Espinasse-Vozelle Claiming Handicap · 6f 211y
#11
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Dax | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-08 | Dax | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 3 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-03-23 | Mont De Marsan | 3 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-02-23 | Pau | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength35%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 87% | +0.08 |
| 28/12/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 82% | -0.02 |
| 28/01/2026 | 14th | 10/3 | 82% | 7% | -0.75 |
| 23/02/2026 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 43% | -0.12 |
| 23/03/2026 | 11th | 7/1 | 63% | 9% | -0.54 |
| 27/04/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 11/06/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 08/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 45% | +0.30 |
| 17/07/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |