7
King Of Chill
4yo Gelding · 9-4
Vichy · Prix d'Espinasse-Vozelle Claiming Handicap · 6f 211y
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength36%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 3 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-04-16 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Marseille | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Marseille | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-27 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/2025 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/12/2025 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 92% | +0.50 |
| 05/01/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 78% | +0.20 |
| 27/01/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 18% | -0.40 |
| 11/02/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 04/03/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 70% | -0.19 |
| 22/03/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 16/04/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |
| 20/07/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |