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2

Nova Ken

5yo Filly · 9-6

Vichy · Prix d'Espinasse-Vozelle Claiming Handicap · 6f 211y

#10

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Salon-De-Provence 30/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 12230/09C?C0 @ Saint-Cloud 16/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 123C0 @ Lyon La Soie 08/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m208y Std 1208/11C?C0 @ Lyon La Soie 01/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m208y Std 122C0 @ Marseille 04/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 1224/01C?4 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 04/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1244 @ Lyon La Soie 24/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 1m208y Std 12824/0244 @ Salon-De-Provence 17/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m208y GS 1204 @ ParisLongchamp 09/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 1279/074projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-09ParisLongchamp47th7th0
2026-06-17Salon-De-Provence49th9th0
2026-02-24Lyon La Soie47th7th0
2026-02-04Cagnes-sur-Mer47th7th0
2026-01-04Marseille?1st1st0
2025-12-01Lyon La Soie?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/091/1224/029/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/09/20253rd12/137%80%+0.43
16/10/20256th25/10%64%+0.64
08/11/20253rd10/147%82%+0.34
01/12/20252nd17/255%91%+0.36
04/01/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
04/02/20267th7/163%25%-0.38
24/02/20267th17/255%0%-0.55
17/06/20269th20/10%11%+0.11
09/07/20267th22/10%25%+0.25