5
Stunning Hero
4yo Gelding · 9-5
Vichy · Prix d'Espinasse-Vozelle Claiming Handicap · 6f 211y
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength46%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-20 | Fontainebleau | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength69%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 04/03/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 18/03/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 73% | +0.57 |
| 03/04/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 20/04/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 27% | -0.46 |
| 27/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 23/05/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 69% | +0.43 |
| 20/07/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 42% | +0.05 |