8
Vive La Reine
5yo Filly · 9-3
Vichy · Prix d'Espinasse-Vozelle Claiming Handicap · 6f 211y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
97%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Marseille | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Marseille | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength62%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 62% | +0.46 |
| 10/02/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 24/02/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 22/03/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 82% | +0.66 |
| 18/04/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 92% | +0.37 |
| 14/05/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 11/8 | 93% | 38% | -0.55 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 20/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |