8
Lanceur D'alerte
6yo Gelding · 9-2
Vichy · Prix de la Fouillouse Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#12
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 7.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Dax | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Tarbes | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Toulouse | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength24%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 29/01/2026 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 23/02/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 21/03/2026 | 12th | 4/1 | 79% | 27% | -0.52 |
| 19/04/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 11/05/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 77% | +0.24 |
| 03/06/2026 | 16th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/06/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 08/07/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 18% | +0.02 |