2
Plata D Octobre
4yo Filly · 9-10
Vichy · Prix de la Fouillouse Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
95%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Marseille | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-03-18 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 12
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength78%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/01/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 93% | +0.45 |
| 02/02/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 11/02/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 85% | +0.19 |
| 18/03/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |
| 03/04/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 93% | +0.35 |
| 29/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 82% | -0.06 |
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 70% | -0.19 |
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |