5
Unfurled
4yo Gelding · 9-5
Vichy · Prix de la Fouillouse Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 12
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/01/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 02/02/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 03/04/2026 | 12th | 11/1 | 42% | 27% | -0.15 |
| 16/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 06/05/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 25/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 17/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 70% | -0.14 |
| 07/07/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 21/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |