1
Waldkauz
9yo Gelding · 9-10
Vichy · Prix de la Fouillouse Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#6
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength32%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-02 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Strasbourg | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-04-20 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength29%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 24/02/2026 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 10/03/2026 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 29/03/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 20/04/2026 | 11th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |
| 08/05/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 47% | +0.20 |
| 02/06/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 22/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 78% | +0.25 |
| 21/07/2026 | 14th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |