4
Wild Horses
5yo Gelding · 9-8
Vichy · Prix de la Fouillouse Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#11
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 3 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-07-14 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Marseille | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-08-31 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-17 | Deauville | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength39%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09/2024 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 18/10/2024 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 20/07/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 17/08/2025 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 31/08/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 20/06/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 30/06/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 14/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/07/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |