3
Woff
8yo Gelding · 9-8
Vichy · Prix de la Fouillouse Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#7
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Deauville | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Compiegne | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength75%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 86% | +0.80 |
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 73% | +0.04 |
| 28/05/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 50% | -0.42 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 17/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 6/4 | 92% | 56% | -0.37 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 63% | +0.57 |
| 16/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |