7
Parva Scurra
5yo Filly · 8-8
Vichy · Prix de Saulcet Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/8
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Marseille | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength64%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 02/02/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 16/02/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 54% | +0.28 |
| 09/03/2026 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 33% | -0.22 |
| 16/04/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 22% | -0.30 |
| 13/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 92% | +0.21 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 02/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.24 |
| 23/07/2026 | 11th | 11/8 | 93% | 29% | -0.64 |