2
Ridwaan
9yo Gelding · 9-5
Vichy · Prix de Saulcet Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#5
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 8.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Marseille | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Marseille | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Marseille | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength8%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 87% | +0.60 |
| 17/04/2026 | 15th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 29/04/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/05/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/05/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 89% | +0.73 |
| 02/06/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 20/06/2026 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/07/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |