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12

What Do You Say

10yo Gelding · 8-0

Vichy · Prix de Saulcet Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#7

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength5%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 11.5 /10 (raw 9.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vichy 22/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 12822/09C?C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 06/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m208y GS 118C5 @ Clairefontaine 24/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 58 · 1m208y Hvy 123 · beat its mark24/10/2025 · OR 58 par24/10C5OR 58C0 @ Fontainebleau 13/11/2025 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 112C5 @ Deauville 12/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 58 · 1m1f97y Std 123 · beat its mark12/12/2025 · OR 58 par12/12C5OR 58BHA58 @ Deauville 30/12/2025 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 58 · 1m1f97y Std 122 · below its mark30/12/2025 · OR 58 par4 @ Lyon-Parilly 08/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 58 · 1m1f207y Sft 123 · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 58 par8/054OR 584 @ Le Croise-Laroche 17/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 58 · 1m208y Gd 123 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 58 par4 @ Vichy 25/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y GS 11825/074projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Vichy410th10th0
2026-05-17Le Croise-Laroche411th11th0
2026-05-08Lyon-Parilly48th8th0
2025-12-30DeauvilleBHA5813th15th−2
2025-12-12Deauville?9th10th−1
2025-11-13Fontainebleau?15th15th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0913/118/0525/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/09/20258th125/10%50%+0.50
06/10/20259th125/10%43%+0.43
24/10/20257th100/10%0%0.00
13/11/202515th100/10%0%0.00
12/12/20259th100/10%0%0.00
30/12/202513th80/10%8%+0.08
08/05/20268th80/10%0%0.00
17/05/202611th80/10%9%+0.09
25/07/202610th80/10%18%+0.18