5
New Pearl
3yo Filly · 8-11
Vichy · Grand Prix du Chabouif - Montpensier (Prix des Berges de l'Allier) Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#4
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Lyon La Soie | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Marseille | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Chantilly | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-21 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-05 | Marseille | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength57%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 21/11/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 75% | +0.70 |
| 17/12/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 05/01/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 21/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 05/02/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 30% | +0.25 |
| 18/02/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 04/03/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 89% | +0.84 |
| 21/03/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 42% | -0.00 |