1

Renad

3yo Filly · 9-6

Vichy · Grand Prix du Chabouif - Montpensier (Prix des Berges de l'Allier) Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#1

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

94%

Place Prob

75%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 20/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12820/07C5C5 @ Vichy 20/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y Ver 12820/08C5C5 @ Deauville 02/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 7f100y Std 1282/12C5C0 @ Deauville 02/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1202/01C?C0 @ Deauville 29/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 12429/01C?C0 @ Saint-Cloud 10/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12710/03C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-10Saint-Cloud?9th9th0
2026-01-29Deauville?6th6th0
2026-01-02Deauville?1st1st0
2025-12-02Deauville?9th9th0
2025-08-20Vichy?6th6th0
2025-07-20Chantilly?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0720/082/122/0129/0110/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength28%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/07/20257th20/10%0%0.00
20/08/20256th18/15%44%+0.39
02/12/20259th66/10%20%+0.20
02/01/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
29/01/20266th15/261%44%-0.16
10/03/20269th20/10%43%+0.43