7
Mexicana
3yo Filly · 8-8
Vichy · Prix Louis Cambreleng Stakes · 6f 211y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Vichy | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Compiegne | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Fontainebleau | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-03-05 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-02-02 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength52%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 04/01/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 20/01/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 02/02/2026 | 2nd | 80/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 05/03/2026 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 11/04/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 20/05/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 53% | +0.38 |
| 02/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 22/07/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.02 |