2

Une Aventure
3yo Colt · 8-13
Vichy · Prix Louis Cambreleng Stakes · 6f 211y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-07-02 | Senonnes-Pouance | ? | 10th | 12th | −2 |
| 2026-04-14 | Nantes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-10 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-02-27 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-02-06 | Deauville | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength46%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 38% | -0.36 |
| 29/12/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 23/01/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 63% | -0.27 |
| 06/02/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 82% | -0.05 |
| 27/02/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 70% | +0.09 |
| 10/03/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 14/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 02/07/2026 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 18% | -0.58 |
| 15/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |