3
Vanina Runaway
3yo Filly · 8-12
Vichy · Prix Louis Cambreleng Stakes · 6f 211y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Clairefontaine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Angers | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength76%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 31/03/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 09/04/2026 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 02/05/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.03 |
| 22/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 15/06/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 23/06/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 55% | -0.30 |
| 06/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 24/07/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 42% | -0.35 |