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5

Hakamaori

4yo Filly · 8-12

Vichy · Prix de Toury-Lurcy Maiden Stakes · 1m 3f 204y

#3

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Lignieres 07/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1367/03C5C5 @ Compiegne 25/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y Gd 12425/04C5C5 @ Vichy 24/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f202y Sft 12424/05C5projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-24Vichy?4th4th0
2026-04-25Compiegne?4th4th0
2026-03-07Lignieres?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0325/0424/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength52%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/03/20265th28/10%67%+0.67
25/04/20264th80/10%70%+0.70
24/05/20264th10/147%67%+0.19