1
Zodd
4yo Gelding · 9-2
Vichy · Prix de Toury-Lurcy Maiden Stakes · 1m 3f 204y
#5
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Dax | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-02-24 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2026-01-24 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-01-15 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength22%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 92% | -0.02 |
| 17/12/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 64% | -0.02 |
| 30/12/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 15/01/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 24/01/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 11/02/2026 | 11th | 17/2 | 55% | 23% | -0.32 |
| 24/02/2026 | 7th | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 28/05/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |