8
Bloodhound
6yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 45
Windsor · A1R Services Ltd Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 3f 99y
#7
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength25%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Chepstow | 6 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Chelmsford City | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-02-26 | Chelmsford City | 6 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-02-17 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-01-26 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-01-08 | Chelmsford City | 6 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength52%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09/2025 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 26/11/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 03/12/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 08/01/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 26/01/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |
| 17/02/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 26/02/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 07/03/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 15/06/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 70% | +0.28 |