3

Green Team

7yo Gelding · 10-13 · OR 65

Windsor · A1R Services Ltd Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 3f 99y

#3

Rank

Odds

17/2

Win Prob

9%

Place Prob

18%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

3-time winner for Ian Williams and, making third start for current yard, took advantage of a career-low mark when scoring under this rider at Wolverhampton in May. Remains well treated on old form and could be capable of following up.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength55%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Wolverhampton 08/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 69 · 1m5f219y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/12/2025 · OR 69 par8/124OR 695 @ Wolverhampton 02/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 67 · 2m120y Std 132 · beat its mark02/02/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Lingfield 21/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 66 · 1m5f Std 129 · beat its mark21/02/2026 · OR 66 par21/025OR 665 @ Newcastle 06/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 64 · 1m4f98y Std 127 · beat its mark06/03/2026 · OR 64 par5 @ Wolverhampton 20/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 62 · 1m4f51y Std 130 · beat its mark20/03/2026 · OR 62 par20/035OR 625 @ Southwell 26/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 62 · 1m6f21y Std 125 · beat its mark26/03/2026 · OR 62 par6 @ Wolverhampton 11/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 62 · 1m5f219y Std 132 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 62 par11/056OR 625 @ Southwell 21/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 62 · 1m3f23y Std 148 · beat its mark21/05/2026 · OR 62 par5 @ Wolverhampton 29/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 61 · 1m4f51y Std 147 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 61 par29/055OR 61projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-29Wolverhampton51st1st0
2026-05-21Southwell54th4th0
2026-05-11Wolverhampton64th5th1
2026-03-26Southwell52nd2nd0
2026-03-20Wolverhampton56th6th0
2026-03-06Newcastle54th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/126/0311/0529/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength59%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/12/20257th25/10%0%0.00
02/02/20266th25/10%38%+0.38
21/02/202610th28/10%18%+0.18
06/03/20264th9/153%50%-0.03
20/03/20266th9/153%44%-0.08
26/03/20262nd8/158%67%+0.09
11/05/20264th5/174%63%-0.11
21/05/20264th4/179%57%-0.22
29/05/20261st17/255%100%+0.45