1
I'd Go Maniac
7yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 68
Windsor · A1R Services Ltd Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 3f 99y
#1
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
72%
Place Prob
51%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Epsom Downs | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Windsor | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Lingfield | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-21 | Kempton | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength61%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 03/10/2025 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 25/11/2025 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 20/12/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 21/01/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 25/03/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 11/05/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 29/05/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 73% | +0.10 |
| 16/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |