5
Jodhpur Blue
5yo Gelding · 10-10 · OR 62
Windsor · A1R Services Ltd Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 3f 99y
#6
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength45%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Newmarket | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Lingfield | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Kempton | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/12/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 02/01/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 20/01/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 30/01/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 78% | +0.15 |
| 08/02/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 04/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 91% | +0.03 |
| 20/03/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 17% | -0.25 |
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |
| 31/07/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |