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2

Market House

6yo Gelding · 10-13 · OR 65

Windsor · A1R Services Ltd Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 3f 99y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

20%

Place Prob

27%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Placed 3 times on all-weather early in the year before scoring over hurdles in April. Respectable efforts on the Flat since, 2½ lengths third of 4 at Newmarket in June, and has now dropped below his last winning mark in this sphere.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength60%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Lingfield 21/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 71 · 1m5f Std 134 · beat its mark21/02/2026 · OR 71 par21/025OR 714 @ Wolverhampton 27/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 71 · 1m4f51y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/02/2026 · OR 71 par5 @ Newcastle 06/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 71 · 1m4f98y Std 134 · beat its mark06/03/2026 · OR 71 par6/035OR 715 @ Plumpton 05/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 94 · 2m4f116y Goo 162 · beat its mark05/04/2026 · OR 94 par5 @ Plumpton 19/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 95 · 1m7f195y Gd 165 · beat its mark19/04/2026 · OR 95 par19/045OR 954 @ Goodwood 01/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 70 · 1m6f Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/05/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Salisbury 14/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 68 · 1m4f5y Goo 135 · beat its mark14/05/2026 · OR 68 par14/055OR 685 @ Fakenham 31/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 98 · 2m4f1y Goo 167 · below its mark31/05/2026 · OR 98 par5 @ Newmarket 26/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 67 · 1m4f GF 138 · beat its mark26/06/2026 · OR 67 par26/065OR 67projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-26Newmarket53rd3rd0
2026-05-31Fakenham52nd2nd0
2026-05-14Salisbury54th4th0
2026-05-01Goodwood46th5th+1
2026-04-19Plumpton51st1st0
2026-04-05Plumpton52nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/025/0414/0526/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength23%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/02/20263rd14/126%82%+0.56
27/02/20262nd10/382%80%-0.02
06/03/20263rd6/594%67%-0.27
05/04/20262nd6/168%86%+0.17
19/04/20261st15/890%100%+0.10
01/05/20266th17/255%44%-0.11
14/05/20264th5/287%40%-0.47
31/05/20262nd2/189%67%-0.23
26/06/20263rd5/174%33%-0.40