7

Wrist Art
9yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 48
Windsor · A1R Services Ltd Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 3f 99y
#8
Rank
Odds
17/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength46%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: BHA47
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Carlisle | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-29 | Pontefract | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Brighton | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Yarmouth | 6 | −1 | ||
| 2026-05-21 | Southwell | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Windsor | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength93%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 30/03/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 17/04/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 04/05/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 11/05/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 21/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 29/06/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 57% | +0.52 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |