7

Wrist Art

9yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 48

Windsor · A1R Services Ltd Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 3f 99y

#8

Rank

Odds

17/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Losing sequence is mounting up (30) and merely ticking over at present, fifth of 9 at Carlisle (1m) last month. Hiked back up in trip but easy enough to look elsewhere for win purposes.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength46%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: BHA47
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Chelmsford City 21/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 47 · 1m Std 127 · beat its mark21/02/2026 · OR 47 par21/026OR 476 @ Wolverhampton 30/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 46 · 6f20y Std 147 · beat its mark30/03/2026 · OR 46 par6 @ Wolverhampton 17/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 45 · 1m1f104y Std 126 · beat its mark17/04/2026 · OR 45 par17/046OR 456 @ Bath 04/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 45 · 1m Gd 142 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 45 par5 @ Windsor 11/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 45 · 1m2f Goo 137 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 45 par11/055OR 455 @ Southwell 21/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 45 · 1m3f23y Std 137 · beat its mark21/05/2026 · OR 45 par5 @ Brighton 21/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 50 · 7f216y Goo 137 · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 50 par21/065OR 505 @ Pontefract 29/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 50 · 1m2f5y Goo 138 · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Carlisle 04/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 50 · 7f173y Goo 144 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 50 par4/076OR 50projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-04Carlisle65th6th1
2026-06-29Pontefract54th4th0
2026-06-21Brighton53rd3rd0
2026-06-11Yarmouth61
2026-05-21Southwell55th5th0
2026-05-11Windsor53rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/024/0521/064/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength93%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/02/20267th22/10%14%+0.14
30/03/202610th40/10%18%+0.18
17/04/20268th50/10%30%+0.30
04/05/20266th22/10%50%+0.50
11/05/20263rd40/10%83%+0.83
21/05/20265th12/137%43%+0.06
21/06/20263rd25/10%60%+0.60
29/06/20264th18/15%57%+0.52
04/07/20265th17/255%50%-0.05